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David McNamara: British economy is stuck in stagnation
David McNamara
David McNamara: The three key drivers of inflation have now largely dissipated
David McNamara: The three key drivers of inflation have now largely dissipated
While some bumps in the road to a sustainable 2% inflation rate can be expected, the broader drivers of the inflationary surge in recent years have now largely dissipated

Mon, 20 May, 2024

Bank of England Monetary Policy Report
David McNamara: Bank of England on the cusp of rate cuts, amid brightening UK outlook
Governor Andrew Bailey noted there would likely be a need for rate cuts over the coming quarters and these could be to a greater degree than currently priced into market rates

Mon, 13 May, 2024

Germany Is Running Out of Workers, Putting Growth in Jeopardy
David McNamara: The eurozone economy may be turning a corner at last
The main focus this week will be on the upcoming Fed monetary policy decision

Mon, 29 Apr, 2024

Russia Energy Project
David McNamara: Geopolitical tensions could harm the fragile global economy
Energy price falls have been helping to reduce annual consumer inflation for much of the past year, but these base effects are likely to wash through the data very soon, and could even push up inflation once more if the recent trend in oil prices persists

Mon, 22 Apr, 2024

The European Central Bank skyscraper in the city of  Frankfurt Main, Germany
David McNamara: Markets pricing in 80 basis points worth of ECB cuts this year
Eurozone inflation has undershot expectations

Mon, 15 Apr, 2024

Markets will be looking for guidance from this week's ECB meeting
Markets will be looking for guidance from this week's ECB meeting
Eurozone economy essentially flat-lined for five consecutive quarters between the end of 2022 and throughout last year

Mon, 08 Apr, 2024

David McNamara: Plenty of green shoots for the global economy
David McNamara: Plenty of green shoots for the global economy
However, growth remains subdued in Europe and the risk of a downturn is still possible

Mon, 01 Apr, 2024

Bank of England Monetary Policy Report
Central banks and markets now aligned on rate cuts
While the Fed and Bank of England held rates as expected, the accompanying forecasts and commentary from key policymakers have helped to align futures markets with central banks

Mon, 25 Mar, 2024

Federal Reserve Powell
David McNamara: All eyes on US Fed's new inflation forecasts on Wednesday 
Markets are now pricing in just 70 basis points of rate cuts by the end of 2024, down from the almost nearly 100 basis points, or 1%, in cuts that were priced in only a couple of weeks ago

Tue, 19 Mar, 2024

Germany Europe Economy
Summer interest cut signalled by European Central Bank
After around two years of aggressive interest rate hikes from the main central banks, monetary policymakers are still on hold and currently deploying a “data-dependent” approach in setting monetary policy.

Mon, 11 Mar, 2024

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