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David McNamara: British economy is stuck in stagnation
David McNamara
The European Central Bank skyscraper in the city of  Frankfurt Main, Germany
David McNamara: ECB may not cut interest rates by as much as markets anticipate next year
Incoming data will be the determining factor for the magnitude of rate cuts from central banks next year

Mon, 02 Dec, 2024

Economic risks have shifted to the downside in Europe
Economic risks have shifted to the downside in Europe
Expected dissolution of the German Government brings yet further political uncertainty

Mon, 18 Nov, 2024

Budget 2024
UK chancellor avoids a 'Liz Truss moment'
The overall moves are modest in comparison to the 'mini-budget' debacle in 2022

Mon, 04 Nov, 2024

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde Rates Decision News Conference
David McNamara: Has the ECB declared victory over inflation?
After last week's interest rate cut, ECB president Christine Lagarde said headline and core inflation were 'all heading in the same direction: downwards'

Mon, 21 Oct, 2024

Michel Barnier
David McNamara: European economies face fiscal constraints as monetary policy loosens
ECB expected to cut interest rates again this week as France faces significant budget deficit

Mon, 14 Oct, 2024

Interest rates
David McNamara: Bank of England’s muddled messaging continues
BoE governor Andrew Bailey has pivoted from cautioning against cutting interest rates too fast or by too much to saying only weeks later the bank could be 'a bit more aggressive' in cutting interest rates

Mon, 07 Oct, 2024

China Stocks Struggle to Rally at Reopen Despite Upbeat Data
David McNamara: Major Chinese stimulus reverberates through markets
The question remains whether measures such as cuts in mortgage rates and lending to equity markets will be enough to boost the Chinese economy

Mon, 30 Sep, 2024

Jerome Powell
David McNamara: Fed pivots from inflation to growth concerns
The key takeaway from the bumper interest rate cut last week is that the Fed has decisively shifted its focus away from its inflation mandate towards the labour market and GDP growth 

Mon, 23 Sep, 2024

David McNamara: The ECB walks an interest rate tightrope between growth and inflation
David McNamara: The ECB walks an interest rate tightrope between growth and inflation
The market spotlight will be focused on the US Federal Reserve this week, as it is widely expected to cut rates for the first time this cycle

Mon, 16 Sep, 2024

GERMANY-EU-ECB-BANKING-INFLATION
David McNamara: There is a strong case for the ECB to move even faster on rate cuts
Despite market expectations for a 25bps rate cut this week, the decision from the ECB is likely to be a close call

Mon, 09 Sep, 2024

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