Constituency profile: Dublin South Central

Reduced from a five-seater to four, Dublin South-Central has lost a population of more than 9,600 from Terenure and close to 3,000 in Kimmage.

Constituency profile: Dublin South Central

The constituency has a population of 114,660. It takes in the former villages of Drimnagh, Walkinstown, and Crumlin, as well as Dolphin’s Barn, Ballyfermot, and Chapelizod.

It takes in part of the electoral division of Phoenix Park situated south of a line drawn along Chapelizod Rd, Conyngham Rd, and Parkgate St.

Also included are the electoral divisions of Clondalkin/Monastery, Clondalkin/Ballymount, and Tallaght/Kilnamanagh, situated east of a line drawn along the M50 Western Parkway.

One of the most left-leaning of all of the 40 Dáil constituencies, decades of neglect and poor housing infrastructure have made it a happy hunting ground for the parties of the left.

The fact that Labour is only running one candidate here,as opposed to the three it ran in 2011, says it all about the party’s fortunes this time around. Eric Byrne looks set to lose his seat as the tide goes out for his party.

Bríd Smith, the Anti Austerity Alliance/People Before Profit candidate, is set to be the beneficiary here.

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She is competing in the same pool of votes with Joan Collins, who, after a split or two within the group, is now running as a United Left candidate.

We expect both to be elected.

Catherine Byrne has been a Fine Gael TD here since 2007 and is a former lord mayor of Dublin.

Given her hard work on the ground, Byrne should have enough to be returned to the 32nd Dáil.

Fianna Fáil’s standard bearer is Catherine Ardagh, daughter of former TD Seán, who is a city councillor, and while she is expected to compete for the last seat, we feel the game will just be beyond her.

For the Green Party, Oisin Ó hAlmhain is again contesting the election but is not expected to be in the final shake-up for one of the four seats.

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