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Oliver Mangan

Diminishing risk of recession means higher-for-longer interest rates are becoming a reality

Diminishing risk of recession means higher-for-longer interest rates are becoming a reality

The deposit rate in the Euro area is expected to come back down to 3% and remain at this level for the rest of the decade

Mon, 21 Aug, 2023

Oliver Mangan: Why the US economy continues to outperform Europe

Oliver Mangan: Why the US economy continues to outperform Europe

The US has been outperforming the European economy for many decades and continues to do so, reflecting stronger labour force and productivity growth

Mon, 07 Aug, 2023

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde Rates Decision News Conference

Oliver Mangan: Is there light at the end of the rate hike tunnel?

The ECB will need to inflation forecasts revised lower so has left its options open about raising rates again

Mon, 31 Jul, 2023

Stocks Rally, Yields Sink on Powell's Reassurance

Oliver Mangan: Markets predict 'soft landing' for US economy

US stock market indices have risen, core inflation rates have dropped and unemployment is at a 50-year low

Mon, 17 Jul, 2023

Oliver Mangan: For the ECB, inflation remains too high

Oliver Mangan: For the ECB, inflation remains too high

European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde indicated it's likely to sign off on another interest rate hike next month

Mon, 19 Jun, 2023

A worker in a factory working on a traditional milling machine

Oliver Mangan: Irish economy continues strong growth despite GDP hiccup

The recent data highlight yet again that GDP is not a reliable measure of economic activity and it is important to take a wide range of indicators into consideration

Mon, 12 Jun, 2023

Meta layoffs expected

Oliver Mangan: Job numbers continue to rise despite Big Tech layoffs

Labour market experiencing very strong growth, with the labour force expanding by 44,000 in the first three months of the year

Mon, 29 May, 2023

London aerial views

Oliver Mangan: The British economy is down, but not out

The shifts in the Bank of England’s macro forecasts have been quite dramatic over the past six months

Mon, 22 May, 2023

Germany ECB Cyberattack

Oliver Mangan: When ECB rates do fall, they will settle far above previous levels

Rates expected to decline to about 2.5%, far above their previous zero or negative levels

Mon, 08 May, 2023

House building

Oliver Mangan: Sweet spot means we can tackle housing and services constraints

Unemployment is also projected to remain very low at 4.5% over the next three years, and inflation is seen falling back to around 2%

Mon, 01 May, 2023