Global temperatures likely to be above 1.5C threshold over next five years – WMO

There is an 80% chance that at least one year between 2025 and 2029 will set a new record for global temperatures, the analysis shows

After 2024’s record temperatures broke – temporarily at least – the 1.5C threshold to which countries have agreed to limit global warming to avoid its most dangerous impacts, new climate predictions have found an 86% chance another year in the next five will do the same.

Global temperatures are likely to be more than 1.5C above pre-industrial levels over the next five years, scientists have warned.

After 2024’s record temperatures broke – temporarily at least – the 1.5C threshold to which countries have agreed to limit global warming to avoid its most dangerous impacts, new climate predictions have found an 86% chance another year in the next five will do the same.