Physicist Hawking takes a swipe at ‘ballerina’ Suarez
The scientist, whose book A Brief History Of Time was a bestseller, analysed data from every tournament since 1966 â and the bad news is he reckons the heat, the altitude, and the distance from home could all scupper Englandâs chances.
But he thinks prospects for Roy Hodgsonâs men will be improved if they get a European referee for their group stage match with Uruguay and their mercurial Liverpool striker Suarez because he reckons match officials from the northern hemisphere will be less sympathetic to his on-pitch dramatics.
Prof Hawking has also come up with âa formula for the perfect penaltyâ â because âas we say in science, England couldnât hit a cowâs arse with a banjoâ.
Setting out his analysis, which was commissioned by bookmakers Paddy Power, Prof Hawking said Englandâs chances of success could be worked out by examining âenvironmental, physiological, psychological, political, and tactical variablesâ.
He said: âStatistically Englandâs red kit is more successful and we should play 4-3-3 rather than 4-4-2. Psychologists in Germany found red makes teams feel more confident and can lead them to being perceived as more aggressive and dominant. Likewise, 4-3-3 is more positive so the team benefits for similar psychological reasons.
âThe impact of environmental factors alone is quite staggering. A 5C rise in temperature reduces our chances of winning by 59%. We are twice as likely to win when playing below 500m above sea level. And our chances of winning improve by a third when kicking off at three oâclock local time.â
Prof Hawking also outlined his formula for taking penalties.
He said the key to success was a run-up of more than three steps and giving the ball âsome wellyâ, but âvelocity is nothing without placementâ.
He said: âIf only I had whispered this in Chris Waddleâs ear before he sent the ball into orbit in 1990. Use the side foot rather than laces and you are 10% more likely to score.â




