India’s coronavirus cases surpass 5 million

India’s coronavirus cases surpass 5 million
People queue to get tested for Covid-19 in India (AP/Channi Anand)

The number of confirmed coronavirus cases in India has surpassed 5 million.

The country’s Health Ministry reported 90,123 new cases in the past 24 hours, raising its confirmed total to 5,020,359, about 0.35% of its population of nearly 1.4 billion. It said 1,290 more people died in the past 24 hours, for a total of 82,066 deaths.

India’s total coronavirus caseload is closing in on the United States’ highest tally of more than 6.6 million cases and is expected to surpass it within weeks.

A health worker collects a swab sample at a government hospital in Jammu, India (AP/Channi Anand)

India reported a record daily high of 97,570 cases on September 11 and has added more than 1 million cases in September alone.

Experts warned that India’s case fatality rate could increase in coming weeks with lockdown restrictions relaxed except in high-risk areas.

But authorities ruled out imposing a second countrywide lockdown as recoveries were growing at more than 78%. Its death rate is 1.6%, far lower than 3% each in the United States and Brazil, according to the Johns Hopkins Medicine and University.

Dr Gagandeep Kang, an infectious diseases expert from Christian Medical College in the southern Indian state of Vellore, said that the number of cases increasing in India was inevitable. But the country still had the opportunity to try and restrict cases through a strategy of testing and isolating the affected places.

She said that “the goal was for India to do enough testing to bring down the test positivity rate, or fraction of tests that test positive to less than 5% or even less than 1%.”

India’s coronavirus cases are now the second-highest in the world (AP/Channi Anand)

Most of India’s deaths are concentrated in its large cities – Mumbai, Delhi, Bengaluru, Chennai and Pune. But smaller urban centres in Mahrashtra like Nagpur or Jalgaon have also reported more than 1,000 deaths.

Health secretary Rajesh Bhushan said that only about 6% of the coronavirus patients in India were on oxygen – 0.31% on ventilators, 2.17% on intensive care unit beds with oxygen and 3.69% on oxygen beds.

Maharashtra state with more than 1 million cases remains the worst affected region in India, followed by Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka and Uttar Pradesh. These states account for more than 60% of coronavirus cases in the country.

The Health Ministry said 155 health workers, including 46 doctors, have died so far due to Covid-19.

India’s meagre health resources are poorly divided across the country. Nearly 600 million Indians live in rural areas, and with the virus spreading fast across India’s vast hinterlands, health experts worry that hospitals could be overwhelmed.

(PA Graphics)

Nationwide, India is testing more than a million samples per day, exceeding the World Health Organisation’s benchmark of 140 tests per million people. But many of these are antigen tests, which look for virus proteins and are faster but less accurate compared to RT-PCR, the gold standard for confirming the coronavirus by its genetic code.

With the economy contracting by a record 23.9% in the second quarter leaving millions jobless, the Indian government is continuing with relaxing lockdown restrictions that were imposed in late March. The government announced in May a £206 billion stimulus package, but consumer demand and manufacturing are yet to recover.

A large number of offices, shops, businesses, bars and restaurants have reopened. Restricted domestic and international evacuation flights are being operated every day along with train services.

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