Despite China, Standard & Poor’s 500 faces perfect season

One of the best ways for investors to have made money in US stocks last year was to acquire them just before earnings season began.
Despite China, Standard & Poor’s 500 faces perfect season

Bulls need that trade to work now more than any time in the past few years.

With everything from China to the Federal Reserve and oil working against them, investors have had little reason to buy in 2016 — and the result has been the worst five-day start to any year.

Now begins a stretch that lately has been one of the best for stocks, when companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index from Alcoa to Wells Fargo begin publishing October-to-December results.

It’s not that earnings are stellar: Profits for US companies are forecast by analysts to decline for a third straight quarter, and estimates have fallen steadily since March.

It’s that investors trying to assess currency devaluations and equity convulsions 7,000 miles away in Shanghai will at least be reassured that the American economy is holding up.

“What will make people come to their senses is that while economic activity is slow, it’s not headed down,” said Hank Herrmann, chief executive at Waddell & Reed Financial in Kansas.

Friday’s jobs report showed US employers were optimistic about the economy’s prospects just before the recent rout in global financial markets.

They added 292,000 workers in December.

It wasn’t enough to elevate the S&P 500, which slid 6% for the week.

Goldman Sachs Group said the carnage of last week, when $1.6 trillion (€1.46 trillion) was erased from equity prices, sets up shares for a rebound as results arrive.

Traders should buy options on stocks such as LinkedIn, KeyCorp and Reynolds American, where the potential exists for earnings to exceed Wall Street expectations, derivatives strategists John Marshall and Katherine Fogertey said last week.

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