All the pressure's on Man City in riches v rags clash against Leicester

‘The race is not always to the swift nor the battle to the strong — but that’s the way to bet.’
So said Damon Runyon but, while I would normally defer to the wise one on anything to do with gambling, there is increasingly compelling fresh evidence that sometimes the counter-intuitive approach — or, to put it more accurately, the mug punter’s mad flutter — can pay rich dividends.