Worsening crisis forces rethink of eurozone strategies

THE debt crisis shook Europe’s core yesterday as market fears grew over the stability of Spain and Italy, forcing a rethink of the currency union’s strategy to restore trust in its future.

Markets took a nosedive on worries that the eurozone’s third and fourth biggest economies — both too expensive to save with Europe’s rescue funds — may become the crisis’ next victims.

On the one hand, investors are concerned by the EU’s determination to get banks to share the burden of bailouts, even at the cost of triggering a Greek default. On the other, they see in EU disagreements over giving Greece more aid the ominous signs of a drop in commitment to the currency union.

The mix of uncertainty proved toxic for markets. The sell-off extended to Italy, one of Europe’s stable core economies, which despite its high debt had so far escaped the turmoil that has crippled the eurozone for a year and a half.

The contagion “could mark the beginning of the end for the single currency union in its current form,” said Jonathan Loynes, an economist at Capital Economics.

As so often before, the eurozone finance ministers were pushed into action only when the markets gave them no choice.

Italy’s government sped up approval of its austerity plan and the EU opened the door for a complete overhaul of the region’s bailout fund, which has so far focused on handing out rescue loans to countries on the brink of collapse in return for high interest rates and painful austerity measures.

The pledges calmed market nerves — for the day, at least. The euro bounced back above $1.40 from as low as $1.3840 in the morning and Milan’s stock index swung to a 1.2% gain after being down as much as 4.4%.

“We said we are ready to test, whether, as part of the private sector involvement, an expansion of the toolkit is necessary and appropriate — such as prolonging (loan) maturities and lowering interest rates,” said German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble. “Everything can help to improve debt sustainability and defend the euro as a whole.”

Mr Schaeuble did not exclude new powers for the eurozone’s rescue funds, such as buying up the bonds of troubled countries on the open market, which could lower the debt weight and help stem market jitters, especially for a country like Greece, which few economists believe can stand on its own feet again without substantial additional support.

Until very recently, Germany, the eurozone’s largest economy and the biggest contributor to the region’s bailout fund, had firmly ruled out such expanded powers.

Mr Schaeuble indicated that the heightened market panic may have led to a change in opinion. “We never before had such an intensive and honest debate over the real issues,” he said.

But while the promises of more support stabilised European markets by the close of the day on Tuesday, sentiment remains fragile as the eurozone’s top officials appeared to disagree among themselves.

Calm will return to markets only if “all the countries of the eurozone assume their responsibility, in particular the most powerful countries,” Spanish Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero told reporters in Madrid.

The comment seemed to be a direct rebuke to German Chancellor Angela Merkel, whose reluctance to anger taxpayers at home has blocked previous efforts to get ahead of the debt crisis.