Fianna Fáil loses support to FG and Labour
The poll shows that support for Fianna Fáil has decreased from 38% to 32% since February, to the party’s lowest levels since shortly after the 2002 General Election.
The two main opposition parties are the biggest beneficiaries of the fall.
Fine Gael’s three-point jump to 25% represents the party’s strongest poll showing since Enda Kenny became leader three years ago.
Labour has also shown a two-point increase in support, up from 12% to 14%.
The bounce may stem from the decision by delegates at the party’s national conference to back Pat Rabbitte’s pre-election pact with Fine Gael.
Sinn Féin also seems to have staged a recovery from the strong drop in support it experienced arising from the political fallout of the Northern Bank robbery and January’s Robert McCartney murder in a Belfast bar.
The party’s support has jumped by two points to reach 11%.
The PDs - at 4% - show a marginal rise while the Green Party (which has ruled out any pre-election alliance with the other parties) remains unchanged, also at 4%.
Independents account for 9% of support.
The tns/MRBI poll for The Irish Times indicates that a rainbow coalition involving the Greens would command 43% support compared with 36% for FF and the PDs.
If the findings of this poll were to be repeated in the election, Fine Gael and Labour would still enjoy a three-point lead over the current Government.
The poll, taken last Tuesday and Wednesday, was conducted in a period in which the Government faced fierce criticism on nursing home standards and charges; on the findings of the Morris Tribunal; as well as on its failure to appoint a new head to the Health Service Executive.
With still almost two years to go to the next general election, the results cannot be taken as a strong indicator of a definite shift in the political balance.
However, the respective strong showings of Fine Gael and Labour will be read by party strategists as a vindication of their electoral pact.




