The spike in inflation still has some way to run

Base effects alone are going to see the inflation rate rise further in the next couple of months
The spike in inflation still has some way to run

Airfares are up 50%, while hotel accommodation is running at 15.5%. Picture: Larry Cummins

Ireland is no different from other countries experiencing a marked rise in inflation over the past year. The annual rate of CPI (Consumer Price Index) inflation stood at 2.8% in August, up from -1.5% last October. The rise in inflation, though, is quite narrowly based. The CPI rate excluding energy stands at 1.9%, reflecting the fact that energy price inflation is running at 16% year-on-year (yoy).

There are other pockets of high inflation in the economy as it re-opens following the lifting of Covid restrictions. Airfares are up 50%, while hotel accommodation is running at 15.5% and package holidays are rising by 6% yoy. Private residential rents are up 4.5%, while car prices are rising at over 7% yoy. It should be noted, though, that many of these steep price rises represent an unwinding of big price declines during 2020.

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