Today's Tips: A Likely Story set to turn a new chapter at Dundalk

Dundalk keeps the show on the road, with a seven-race programme starting at 6.05pm, and the thus-far frustrating A Likely Story can earn a long overdue visit to the winner’s enclosure by taking the second race for Dermot Weld.

The three-year-old has tried his hand over a range of distances and, when dropped to the minimum trip for the first time, on his most recent outing, he went clear before getting caught in the dying strides by Fainleog.

That was on heavy ground at Tipperary, and the return to the all-weather surface, where he made a most promising debut last season, should hold no fears for him. Likely to be ridden on the pace again over the five-furling trip, he is marginally preferred to Aspar.

The last-named was runner-up in three of his four races last season, and was far from disgraced when fourth behind Blood Moon on his only start at this venue. He lacks a recent run, but is open to progress and looks sure to run well.

Ionization gets the nod to take the fillies maiden for trainer Pat Shanahan and jockey Ronan Whelan.

She made her debut in April, at Lingfield, where she finished a promising fifth behind Dommersen, with subsequent winners Banish and Musdam in second and third place, respectively.

She returned to the Curragh for her only subsequent start and finished a fine third in a six-furlong maiden won by Mizaah, with subsequent winner Fainleog in second. With further improvement likely and the return to seven furlongs a positive, she can take this at the expense of newcomer Lost In Love.

Hurricane Cass can take a step forward from a pleasing return, to take the Hen & Stag Packages @ Dundalk Stadium Handicap.

Tommy Stack’s lightly-raced four-year-old was off since July when making his seasonal debut in April, and he showed real promise in finishing a close fourth behind Marshall Jennings. With that run under his belt, he should be seen to even better effect this time, and is preferred to Great Wide Open.

Just three runs ago, on the all-weather, the latter was a winner off a 2lb lower mark than today, and ran good races in defeat on his next to starts, including on turf last time. The return to this track should suit, and another good run looks to be on the cards.


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