We Irish just can’t stop talking about the weather – it’s certainly given us plenty to talk about in the last few years. So what does the next four weeks have in store for us? Let’s have a look-see.
We've always been fascinated with predicting the weather. Many swear by proverbs like “red sky at night, shepherd’s delight”. Factors like “raccoons with thick tails and bright bands”, “early arrival of the Snowy owl” and even “an unusual abundance of acorns” have been put forward as indicators of long-term weather patterns.
Today, we like to think we have more sophisticated methods of predicting the weather – although some would say the old ways are still the best.
A relatively recent phenomenon has been the emergence of detailed long-term forecasts, with New Zealand “weather guru” Ken Ring grabbing the headlines with his pronouncements.
Back in January, he predicted that this summer, Ireland would be “sunnier and warmer than average” but with “no records broken, no lasting heatwaves and no expected extremes”. You’ve got to hand it to him – that’s not a bad description of the summer so far for most of us.
But what’s going to happen in the next few weeks? Will we be getting out the camping gear, or finally getting around to that ‘True Detective’ box set?
Well, get ready for some (hopefully) good news, as Ring said that “temperatures are fairly constantly in the 20s after the 19th of July, with the final three or four days in July possibly among the hottest for the season”.
He added: “The most settled periods of summer are during the last 10 days of each month of the season. In particular, the last weeks of June and July may be significantly dry, warm, bright and sunny.”
Despite heat showers, predict best Ireland weather in last 10 days each summer month. Next good spell last week Julyhttp://t.co/qHW9QP4QBN— Ken Ring (@kenringweather) June 25, 2014
The short-term forecasts seem to agree with him - as far as temperatures are concerned anyway.
Met Éireann's latest national forecast says that "from Thursday onwards, it will be very warm and humid with temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s".
“Mostly cloudy with heavy showers or longer spells of rain and a risk of thunder” doesn’t sound good for Friday, but we can look forward to “decent dry spells with some warm sunshine” for the weekend – still with some rain thrown in, of course!
This weekend (July 19-20) sees Morton Stadium host the GloHealth Track & Field Championships – and Metcheck have provided a typically Irish forecast – sunshine and showers.
The athletes won't have much wind to worry about, with only a slight breeze forecast. There may be some afternoon rain on Saturday, but nice, dry conditions are set to return for Day Two.
Those weather-watchers in Glasnevin don’t like doing forecasts beyond five days (spoilsports!), but we won’t let that stop us.
Ken Ring thinks the last week in July is looking good:
July for Ireland: mostly dry and sunny after 18th with temps mostly in 20s. Hot in last week. July and Sept may be driest months in 2014.— Ken Ring (@kenringweather) June 26, 2014
Metcheck and Accuweather aren’t as upbeat it must be said, predicting sunny spells and scattered showers - that old chestnut.
Accuweather says that the week of July 21-27 will see the best of the weather for the rest of the month, with some decent sunshine and highs of 21°C in Dublin.
Leeside looks set for lower temperatures – and more rain.
The forecast for Galway also looks pretty damp and cloudy, but warm all the same.
So it’s a pretty mixed outlook for July then – but things start to look up in August folks!
In his January prediction, Ken Ring gave a mixed outlook, stating: “August temperatures may be mostly in the 20s, but cloud and intermittent rain make it disappointing for outdoor activities.”
But he was feeling a little more positive by the time his May 1 came around, saying: “Warm temperatures may occur … around the end of July coinciding with the full moon, as well as August. The amount of sunshine is likely to be below normal… Another dry spell for all may be the … first week of August, when mostly fine days are anticipated despite the odd passing shower.”
The next big weekend comes around the August Bank Holiday, with Castlepalooza, Indiependence and the Waterford Spraoi International Street Arts Festival all taking place.
But which one will the weather Gods smile on? Well, unfortunately there’s a lot of cloud forecast everywhere. It’s looking like Waterford will be the driest, but Castlepalooza in Tullamore will be warmer - so says Accuweather.
You never know what you’ll see at Spraoi.
But if you’re looking to save the pennies, you might want to hang on a week or two - and it looks like Kerry is going to have some better luck when it comes to sunny festival weather this summer.
The Puck Fair from August 10-12 looks set to be nice and pleasant, with Accuweather predicting lots of sunshine and warm temperatures down in Killorglin.
The hot, sunny weather is predicted to continue for the weekend of Rose of Tralee Festival in nearby Tralee (August 15-19), as long as those thunderstorms don’t arrive!
The Roses would do well to keep their wellies handy.
Dubliners can look forward to some fairly warm and dry weather in the first half of August - even some sunshine here and there!
The Rebel County should see the deckchairs coming out in force from August 6 with weather like this.
It looks like a cloudier couple of weeks around Galway unfortunately, but nice and warm with it.
So, a few sunny days look to be on the way weather-watchers! You could say we can’t complain - but where would be the fun in that?
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