Phil Hogan, the European trade commissioner, has warned that Europe’s ties with the UK will undergo a “massive” change when the post-Brexit transition period ends — regardless of whether both sides reach a trade deal by their year-end deadline.
Financial "sweeteners" which could be offered to Dublin to pay for extra costs and infrastructure involved in carrying out customs checks between Ireland and the North in the event of a no-deal Brexit are of no interest to the Government with Tánaiste Simon Coveney insisting that the issue is "not about money."
There seems to be a strengthening correlation between the impact Brexit might have on our lives and the growing public disinterest in how this fiasco has evolved to become something far more divisive and sinister than anything in play when less than half of Britain voted in June 2016.
Shares in the big two Irish banks and a handful of property shares played catch-up with the global market slump to post falls, taking stock of the fading hopes of a deal that would avoid Britain crashing out of the EU at the end of October.
The fall of Theresa May pushed sterling slightly higher, but only after the currency had fallen sharply in the past week on the prospect her probable successor, hard Brexiteer Boris Johnson would drive Britain out of the EU without a deal.
The idea that those who try to influence elections through covert social media campaigns are as happy to sow uncertainty as they are to have a preferred candidate elected has moved to the centre of the debate on election security.
If a decision to stand as a candidate in an election is an expression of optimism or frustration, of ambition or dissatisfaction, or as it seems at its simplest, a declaration of enduring faith in the political process, then the 59 Irish candidates who declared for the European elections before yesterday’s noon deadline suggest that a healthy belief in politics capacity to change or protect our world endures.
Delegates at last week’s Oxford Farming Conference said they would vote 60% in favour of remaining in the EU, if there was a second Brexit referendum. However, the Theresa May exit deal would be favoured by 30%, while 10% would opt for “leave with no deal”.
Former Taoiseach Bertie Ahern says that from an Irish perspective the proposed Brexit deal which British Prime Minister Theresa May will put to her Cabinet today “seems to address most of the issues and positions that we are concerned about.”
Any suggestion that the election of Donald Trump or that the 52/48 Brexit, vote could not have been achieved without the support of a cohort of ignorant, poorly educated voters would be dismissed as the kind of patronising arrogance that means Hilary Clinton can spend more time with her granddaughter Charlotte than she had anticipated and that David Cameron, at just 51, is free to write his autobiography, to give a “frank” account of his premiership.
When the history of the Brexit debacle comes to be written, and depending on who writes it, the assertion by Britain’s then justice secretary, Michael Gove, in June 2016, that “people in this country have had enough of experts” may be recognised as a call to the basest instincts of an uncertain, unnerved electorate longing for a return to the imagined magnificence offered by the catchall deception called “sovereignty”.