Booming demand for food in China’s southern and eastern cities is worsening water shortages in arid northern provinces, adding to the country’s environmental problems, new research shows.
“Consumption in highly developed coastal provinces is largely relying on water resources in the water-scarce northern provinces, such as Xinjiang, Hebei and Inner Mongolia, thus significantly contributing to the water scarcity in these regions,” an international group of researchers write in the latest edition of the journal Environmental Science and Technology.
“Rich coastal provinces gain economic profits from international exports at the expense of ecosystem quality in the less-developed regions,” the researchers from the University of Maryland and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis concluded.
Rain and snowfall is concentrated in south and south-western China, as well as along the east coast, which should be the most favourable regions for agricultural production.
But these provinces have experienced the fastest industrialisation and urbanisation since reform and opening in 1979. Large amounts of farm land have been converted to industrial and residential use.
In response, much of the country’s agricultural production has been pushed north and inland to regions with much less rain.
Some 109 billion cubic metres of water was traded between Chinese provinces in 2007, mostly in the form of “virtual water” contained in fresh and processed foods.
The main virtual flows are from agricultural regions like Xinjiang.
The key change over the last three decades, as the researchers explain, is that the south has become much better at industrial production, rather than the north becoming better at agriculture.
Xinjiang, which has annual rainfall of less than 10cm, exports billions of tonnes of water each year to Shanghai (where annual rainfall is 1 metre or more) and Guangdong (which receives 2-3 metres per year).
Farming accounts for 98% of water consumption in Xinjiang, 84% in Inner Mongolia and 83% in Hebei, compared with just 67% in Guangdong and 31% in Shanghai.
Industrial and water imbalances are worsening China’s environmental problems. Northern China is already subjected to dust storms and far worse pollution than the south.
Increased use of irrigation and reliance on groundwater have enabled northern provinces to boost agricultural output, but is not sustainable in the long term as regional aquifers fall.
In response, the government’s controversial South-North Water Transfer Project aims to send almost 45 billion gallons each year from the Changjiang (Yangtze River) through a series of giant canals to Beijing and other parts of the north.
The project is not scheduled to be fully completed until 2050.
It might be more efficient, however, to encourage northern provinces to reduce their production of water-intensive food, according to the researchers.
But the government’s efforts to encourage more industrial development in the west have so far had limited success. The south’s industrial advantage has appeared to become even more entrenched in the last decade, forcing northern areas even deeper into water scarcity.