Pollsters confident of Hollande win

Pollsters confident of Hollande win

Socialist candidate Francois Hollande has appeared to solidify his chances at winning France’s presidency after his strong showing in a debate against beleaguered incumbent Nicolas Sarkozy.

Mr Hollande also won the support of a prominent centrist who came in fourth in the first round of presidential elections.

The conservative Mr Sarkozy has trailed Mr Hollande throughout the campaign in the polls and needed a knockout performance in Wednesday night’s debate.

Pollsters said the mild-mannered Mr Hollande was surprisingly resilient in the bitter back-and-forths with his longtime rival.

“Now the campaign is pretty much finished,” Gael Sliman, a pollster at BVA agency, said.

“With the exception of a completely unforeseen catastrophe in the next 48 hours, Francois Hollande is going to win the presidential election in France.”

The result of the run-off will set the course for the next five years for France, a nuclear-armed country with a permanent seat on the UN Security Council.

It could reshape the debate in the 17-nation eurozone – which Mr Sarkozy has helped guide along with Germany’s Angela Merkel – on how best to resolve the European debt crisis amid sluggish growth across the continent.

Centrist leader Francois Bayrou dealt Mr Sarkozy a new blow last night. Mr Bayrou said he would not give his voters specific guidance for Sunday’s vote - but that he will cast a ballot for Mr Hollande.

“The vote for Francois Hollande, that’s the choice I am making,” he said, criticising Mr Sarkozy’s anti-immigrant rhetoric as too “violent”.

Mr Sarkozy kept it up anyway at a big campaign rally in Toulon.

“We don’t want different tribes, we don’t want ethnic communities to turn in on themselves, we don’t want (non-citizen) immigrants to vote,” he said.

He is seeking support from the far right voters who gave anti-immigrant party leader Marine Le Pen a strong showing in the first round of elections.

Critics of Mr Sarkozy have often faulted him for his brash style, alleged chumminess with the rich and inability to reverse France’s tough economic fortunes and nearly double-digit jobless rate.

Mr Sarkozy, for his part, has defended his record as better than others amid economic woes across Europe.

“Even the French who don’t like him or voted for him say Nicolas Sarkozy is courageous, is someone who has authority,” said Mr Sliman, the pollster.

“Yet during the debate, he indeed had many ticks, he was sometimes ... giving the impression of someone lost.”

Mr Hollande is often derided by critics as too indecisive and unwilling to make tough choices to cut a bloated state budget.

State spending makes up more than 56% of economic output in France, one of the highest such rates in the 27-nation European Union.

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