Syria’s civil war is closing in on president Bashar Assad’s seat of power in Damascus with clashes between government forces and rebels flaring around the city today, raising fears the capital will become the next major battlefield in the 20-month-old conflict.
Numerous reports emerged of at least a dozen people killed near the ancient city and elsewhere, and the regime said nine students and a teacher died from rebel mortar fire on a school. The state news agency originally said 30 people had been killed in the attack.
While many of the mostly poor, Sunni Muslim suburbs ringing Damascus have long been opposition hotbeds, fighting has intensified in the area in recent weeks as rebels press a battle they hope will finish Assad’s regime.
“The push to take Damascus is a real one, and intense pressure to take control of the city is part of a major strategic shift by rebel commanders,” said Mustafa Alani, of the Geneva-based Gulf Research Centre. “They have realised that without bringing the fight to Damascus, the regime will not collapse.”
The increased pressure has raised worries that he or his forces will resort to desperate measures, perhaps striking neighbours Turkey or Israel, or using chemical weapons.
Nato foreign ministers approved Turkey’s request for Patriot anti-missile systems to be deployed along its southern border to defend against possible strikes from Syria.
“We stand with Turkey in the spirit of strong solidarity,” Nato secretary-general Anders Fogh Rasmussen told reporters after the meeting in Brussels. “To anyone who would want to attack Turkey, we say ’Don’t even think about it’.”
Before the meeting, Mr Fogh Rasmussen said he expected any use of chemical weapons to get an “immediate reaction from the international community”.
On Monday, US president Barack Obama said there would be consequences if Assad made the “tragic mistake” of deploying chemical weapons, and Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu said he agreed with the US position.
“We are of the same opinion, that these weapons should not be used and must not reach terror groups,” Mr Netanyahu said.
US intelligence has seen signs that Syria is moving materials inside chemical weapons facilities recently, though it is unsure what the movement means. Still, US officials said the White House and its allies are weighing military options should they decide to secure Syria’s chemical and biological weapons.
In July, foreign ministry spokesman Jihad Makdissi told a news conference that Syria would only use chemical or biological weapons in case of foreign attack, not against its own people. The ministry then tried to blur the issue, saying it had never acknowledged having such weapons.
On Monday, Lebanese security officials said Mr Makdissi had flown from Beirut to London. He has not spoken publicly in weeks and it was unclear whether he had left the government.
Nato foreign ministers also met with their Russian counterpart, Sergey Lavrov. The Kremlin has stymied more than a year of international efforts to apply global pressure on the Assad regime, its strongest ally in the Arab world, but officials say it has expressed equal concern about the threat of any chemical weapons.
Speaking to reporters, Mr Lavrov said Russia would not object to the Patriots.
“We are not trying to interfere with Turkey’s right” to defend itself, he said. “We are just saying the threat should not be overstated.”
Mr Lavrov stressed that Syrian artillery strikes into Turkey were accidental. And he warned that the conflict “is being increasingly militarised”.
Rebel groups around Syria have scored victories in recent weeks, overrunning military bases and airports and halting air traffic at the capital’s international airport for days.
The government’s response has been harsh, and suburbs to the east and south of Damascus have seen some of the heaviest fighting since July, when rebels seized neighbourhoods in the capital itself before being routed by government troops.
Death tolls in the area have soared. Today reports emerged of at least four killings of at least a dozen people, all of them near Damascus or in Aleppo, Syria’s largest city and a battleground since the summer.
Syria’s state news agency SANA said nine students and one teacher were killed when a mortar fired by “terrorists” – the regime’s shorthand for rebels – hit a ninth grade classroom in the Al-Wafideen area. The housing project, about 25 kilometres (15 miles) north-east of central Damascus, houses 25,000 people displaced from the Golan Heights since the 1967 war between Syria and Israel.
SANA said earlier that 29 students and one teacher had been killed before reporting the lower number.
The opposition Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said 10 were killed and did not specify who fired the mortar.
The Britain-based group, which relies on contacts inside Syria, also said 17 unidentified bodies were found in the southern Damascus suburb of Thiyabiyeh. An activist video posted online showed the dead lined up on a floor, many of their heads bloody. An off-camera voice said they were shot after being detained at government checkpoints.
The observatory also said 12 others were killed in a shelling attack on the Aleppo neighbourhood of Bustan al-Qasr the day before. Online videos showed bloody and dismembered bodies on a pavement as people struggled to lift the wounded.
Nearby, dozens of men stood in what the unidentified cameraman said was a bread line.
“We still see people standing in a long line despite a massacre to get bread,” the cameraman said.
The observatory also reported 13 dead in a separate attack on Monday in Aleppo’s Halak neighbourhood.
The videos appeared genuine and corresponded to other reports on the incidents. Syria’s government severely restricts media access, making independent confirmation nearly impossible.
Syria’s uprising began with peaceful protests in March 2011 and later escalated into a civil war that the opposition says has killed more than 40,000 people. So far, both sides have refused international calls for a negotiated solution.
Most analysts agree that the tide is turning, however slowly, against the regime.
But Fyodor Lukyanov, editor of the foreign policy magazine Russia in Global Affairs, said Assad will not leave without a fight.
“Assad realises that there is no way back for him,” said Mr Lukyanov, a leading Russian foreign policy expert with high-level foreign ministry connections. “If he tries to jump the boat, his own supporters will not forgive him for doing that. And if he loses, no one will give him any guarantees.”