Three polls show strong Yes lead getting tighter

Three new opinion polls show a commanding lead for the Yes campaign in the same sex marriage referendum, though the No side is closing the gap.

The surveys for three Sunday newspapers show turnout will be key when the vote takes place next Friday.

The Red C poll for the Sunday Business post surveyed 1009 people nationwide between Monday and Wednesday this week.

Excluding don't knows, the Yes side has 73%, with No on 27% - a 10-point tightening in the race since last month.

Millward Brown polled for the Sunday Independent, surveying 994 people at 64 sampling points between May 2 and yesterday.

That poll had almost a quarter of respondents saying they "don't know". When those are excluded, it came to 69% Yes, 31% No. Since the last comparable poll the Yes side has slipped 13 percentage points, with 10 percentage points of those becoming don't knows.

Behaviour and Attitudes for the Sunday Times interviewed 927 voters between May 1 – 11.

It shows the Yes side down 10 points to 63%, NO, up four to 26%, and don't knows up six to 11%.

The polls show turnout for each side will be key next Friday - with younger voters more in favour, though historically less likely to vote, while older voters are more against, and tend to turn out.


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