Some restrictions on movement in Ireland could be lifted within a couple of weeks, a health service adviser has said.
Cillian De Gascun, chairman of the HSE’s expert advisory group on Covid-19, said “real-time” testing and contact tracing systems would need to be in place before any relaxation of the lockdown could happen.
The coronavirus death toll in Ireland rose to 263 yesterday, with 28 further deaths reported.
There have been 6,574 confirmed cases in Ireland.
The National Public Health Emergency Team will make a recommendation to the Government today on whether to extend the strict clampdown on movement beyond Easter Sunday, when the initial period is due to expire.
It is widely expected that the restrictions will remain in place. People are currently only allowed to leave their homes in a limited set of circumstances.
Dr De Gascun, director of the National Virus Reference Laboratory, indicated that some relaxation may be possible in a number of weeks, but the consultant virologist cautioned that measures may then need to be reintroduced if the number of cases start to surge.
His comments come amid evidence that social distancing rules have helped to significantly reduce the infection rate in Ireland.
“We’ve made a lot of progress but we need to do better before I think we can realistically lift those restrictions,” Dr De Gascun told RTE Radio One.
“However, we are conscious of the fact that the restrictions are very difficult for people and they are not sustainable in the long term. So what we would hope to do is be able to lift those within the next perhaps a couple of weeks, and then monitor the situation from a virus perspective.
“And then perhaps increase the restrictions again, if needs be, depending on the number of cases, depending on the number of people going into hospital, the number of people going into intensive care.
“Ultimately, what we have to try and do is control the impact on our health service.
“And if we get to a situation where, for example, we have 1,000 new cases per day, then that will overwhelm our intensive care system in a very short period of time.
“It’s really important that people, that we can’t become complacent. Even though we have had a very successful implementation of measures thus far, there’s still a long way to go, unfortunately.
“But… we would like to be able to lift the restrictions as soon as possible so that people can return to some level of normality.”
Everyone should stay at home, only leaving for essentials. Find out all you need to know to keep yourself and others safe here: https://t.co/8hhJpaEDsp #coronavirus #COVID19 #ItsInOurHands pic.twitter.com/TcErl6RrDt— HSE Ireland (@HSELive) April 8, 2020
Dr De Gascun said relaxation might involve allowing some increased movement outside the house and the reopening of some retail services.
“We’re not going to be going back to a normal state of affairs,” he said.
“Ultimately what we want to do is protect the majority of the people for as long as possible because, as you know, we still don’t have an effective antiviral against this agent or against this virus, we still don’t have an effective vaccine.
“So really, it’s possible that we’ll try to lift as many restrictions as possible in the coming weeks, it’s possible that we may need to re-escalate again at some point in the future.
“And it’s possible that there may be some form of restriction in place for quite a while yet, until we see exactly… until we can get the curve or the pandemic or the epidemic in the country under control and suppressed.”